Friday, October 05, 2007  

2020, No more tourists?

“Global warming will hurt countries highly reliant on tourism: UN report” --Abstract from Today newspaper, October 3.

Singapore does not have any natural resources, period. The only thing that we have is human resources, and we have been banging hard on that, leveraging everything we can to ensure the Singapore economy stays afloat.

Some examples of how Singapore make-do with human resources, we have the 'world-class' education system, dealing extensively in the service or manufacturing industry and not forgetting the other important point, the tourism industry.

In an article in Today's paper dated October 3rd, it cautioned that over the years global warming may impact tourism in Singapore and around the world. But today's topic in focus is Singapore and how this piece of news is going to affect the tourism industry knowing that Singapore needs it.

What was stated in that paper was that the overall travel demand is expected to increase between 4% to 5% annually with overall international arrivals speeding up to 1.6 bln by the year 2010. It also added predictions of having 'fewer frosts' and more days facing more than 35 degree celsius, and that 'holidaymakers from Europe, Canada, the US and Japan, are more likely to spend holidays in or near their home countries to take advantage of longer summers'.

At this point of time where we're talking about F1 Grand Prix, integrated resorts, we don't really see the threat--- yet. Maybe in time we would.

My reasons:

First, Singapore is already near the equator and as Singaporeans may testify, that the heat here is hot and humid. With more global warming, not just tourists, even Singaporeans may decide to stay home 'because of the hot weather'.

Second, tourism-related industries like hotels, places of interest and attraction may not see much foreigners who would prefer to stay at cooler climates instead. Airlines would have lesser passenger flow.

On the hind-side, the clubs and pubs may flourish as it operates at night where the heat is not as intense. It is probably one of the motivators to get people out of their house.

Third, global warming in the long run might affect Singapore's port businesses. With much heat throughout the world, ice in the Antarctica will melt, increasing water-levels worldwide. When that happens, ships will no longer feel the need to pass through Singapore as the waters are deep enough to bring in their ships straight to their destinations in Asia.

The list could go on, but here are my thoughts on this issue. Let's take this discussion onto the next level and leave your comments.


Nurwidya Abdul

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